Monthly Archives December 2010

Three rules for 2011; or, Hitting 2012 on the Upswing

Nigel M. de S. Cameron
Center for Policy on Emerging Technologies (C-PET), Washington, DC

It’s all about trends. Not the celeb-type “trending” that’s become trendy on Twitter. But reading the runes; sensing which trends that can be seen to have meaning. More Chinese- than English-speakers on the internet in 5 years? Young people’s use of email dropped almost one-half in 2 years? What does the ineluctable shift to mobile mean for the latest FCC pronouncement on “neutrality”? The faster everything moves, the more important it is to track the trends and pick the ones that will shape the future. Which means, not least, that decisions can no longer be data-driven in the way we used to believe they should...

Read More

Why Washington needs the Future

If we are to have one, we had better start talking about it; quadrant 2 in DC; an ode to Bill Joy

If the New Yorker is the world’s best magazine, the Economist can’t lie far behind – smart, wry, transatlantic cousins. And – unlike much else we read today – elegantly written. I fell for the Economist in high school; they had a special deal for teens and it hooked me more than 40 years ago. It’s less stuffy now, more intuitive. I’ve just been reading the latest. A big article on Google. And a special supplement on China (more about that later). Two giants out there shaping things, and us. Focus on the Future.

It’s now 10 years since Bill Joy, co-founder of the late Sun Microsystems and esteemed technology guru, penned his jeremiad, “Why the Future Doesn’t Need Us” – in, of all hallow...

Read More